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January 15, 2017

December 30, 2016

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June 28, 2016

脫歐已成事實, 為全球市場帶來嚴重不確定性, 班報紙佬更吹到個個成員國都爭住脫, 好似睇人跳脫衣舞咁, 係咁嗌脫! 脫! 脫!

如果大家有印象, 2011年8月標普DOWN GRADE美國時, 其實同依家既情況有多少相似, 又係出乎市場預期, 又係股市滙市大地震, 又係D錢流哂入避險資產, 但今次香港哩邊就有幾個地方係同當年唔同的:

1) 成交並無放量

06/24正式脫當日既成交只有998億, 哩類全球性大地震事件港股既成交卻連一千億都無, 真係同當日既走勢唔多配合... 而往後兩日既成交更只係同近期既日均成交差唔多, 分別係625億同6...

June 28, 2016

又黎到結算前既關鍵時刻, 尋日有位巴打問佢個倉可以點搞? 其實做法基本上得三個: 1) 打靶止蝕, 2) 搬去後面, 3) 同佢摶到尾, 雖然我覺得佢哩套野最終係唔會輸的, 但如果我係佢我一定唔會摶

我覺得佢最終唔會輸既原因係因為即月20000 PUT大倉有成5.8K未平倉合約喺度頂住, 而根據過往表現顯示, 十次有八次都會結於PUT大倉之上(或CALL大倉之下), 哩樣野我喺脫歐前個POST已經講左, 如果大家係心水清的話, 今朝一返黎就做LC 200 + SC 202係可以做到成1賠3的, 但由於而家已經升左上黎, 暫時得返1賠1...

June 16, 2016

前日A股入摩撞柱, 個市就死唔去仲倒升返轉頭; 尋晚老美唔加息, 今日就低開加係咁跌跌跌穿埋尋日個低位… 真係CHOK上CHOK落俾人CHOK到頭都甩埋咁濟... 但政策市就係咁, 如果你咁就已經想講粗口, 咁我只能夠講句: 少年… 你實在太年輕了~ 一個民調令港股今日已下跌超過1200點, 聽日又另一個民調令個市反彈返1000點又有咩咁出奇?

回想當年(2011年)炒梗歐債危機既時候, 當時我堅定咁認為無論希臘班友點賴皮都好, 到最後歐盟點都會開綠燈放水救班死窮鬼救佢地的, 否則只會齊齊攬炒, 心諗班友無理由咁蠢玩自己. 誰不知當時...

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