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1928金沙(1)

2015/10/18

恒指今日仍然於高位徘徊, 雖然大市成交只有不足700億, 但暫時未見會出現大幅回落既跡象, 因此打算開淡倉摶回調既朋友最好忍忍手先, 因為現已踏入月中, 空頭LONG PUT既利息將會越來越貴

 

大市無咩好講, 但今日賭股就非常精彩~ 上星期五提及: “27同1928的上升動量係遠遠超過實際股價升幅, 反映買盤並未能帶動股價上升, 即表示上方阻力大, 可惜今日27及1928已經出現顯著回吐, 依家先追沽可能真係遲左少少... 所以如果哩兩隻黎梗死唔去, 又返返上近期高位附近, 大家可以留意下部署淡倉”

而好好彩地, 1928上星期五午後真係咁SO, 抽返上黎俾個靚位我沽, 我當然唔會放過哩個機會~ 雖然唔算沽得好靚, 但今日股價大跌超過6%, 我張28蚊PUT已漲價接近一倍, 而我係仲未走的, 原因唔係因為我貪心, 係因為我翻查紀錄, 發現佢聽日再跌既機會都幾大

 

以下為1928過往十次大跌(單日跌超過4%)後, 翌日的股會表現:

2014-11-06: -4.64%
2014-11-07: +2.55%

 

2014-12-03: -5.08%
2014-12-04: -3.10%

 

2014-12-17: -6.18%
2014-12-18: +2.11%

 

2015-02-25: -5.80%
2015-02-26: -3.08%

 

2015-04-14: -4.83%
2015-04-15: -2.47%

 

2015-06-29: -4.65%
2015-06-30: -2.06%

 

2015-08-12: -5.21%
2015-08-13: -3.18%

 

2015-08-24: -5.25%
2015-08-25: -2.33%

 

2015-09-10: -4.75%
2015-09-11: -1.48%

 

2015-09-29: -9.35%
2015-09-30: -3.92%

 

十次單日大跌後, 只有兩次翌日係升的, 即係話如果歷史會不段重演, 聽日有八成機會係會再跌多日的, 而八次既平均跌幅有成2.7%, 依家我楂住成倍BUFFER喺手, 一個唔該分分鐘執聽日執多一倍, 而唔中亦無傷大雅, 因為根據往績, 第日唔跌嗰兩次既平均升幅只有2.33%, 即係話就算我真係咁樣衰聽日開大, 同佢摶多日最終會輸住錢走既機會其實係好細, 點計都坐得過

 

其他個股388已見疲態, 高位無嘜力; 而762就出現股價與動量背馳, 有機會追返哩幾日既落後, 大家可以留意下

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